Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on April 25, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport recording peak afternoon readings of exactly 30°C under sunny skies, light winds, and springtime subsidence from a subtropical high-pressure ridge. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs near 30°C following thunderstorms that capped April 24 at 22°C. Historical April climatology supports such peaks, with average highs around 26°C but frequent 30°C outliers in clear conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 31°C or measurement revisions, though evening cooling to 20-22°C minimizes risks; final daily summary expected soon from CMA.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 25?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 25?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$121,209 Обс.
$121,209 Обс.
Apr 25, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$121,209 Обс.
$121,209 Обс.
Apr 25, 2026
24°C or below
$3,265 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,759 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,920 Обс.
No
27°C
$7,061 Обс.
No
28°C
$8,191 Обс.
No
29°C
$65,614 Обс.
No
30°C
$11,238 Обс.
Yes
31°C
$6,608 Обс.
No
32°C
$4,222 Обс.
No
33°C
$3,398 Обс.
No
34°C or higher
$3,932 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on April 25, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport recording peak afternoon readings of exactly 30°C under sunny skies, light winds, and springtime subsidence from a subtropical high-pressure ridge. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs near 30°C following thunderstorms that capped April 24 at 22°C. Historical April climatology supports such peaks, with average highs around 26°C but frequent 30°C outliers in clear conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 31°C or measurement revisions, though evening cooling to 20-22°C minimizes risks; final daily summary expected soon from CMA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 23, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$121,209Дата завершення
Apr 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 23, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on April 25, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport recording peak afternoon readings of exactly 30°C under sunny skies, light winds, and springtime subsidence from a subtropical high-pressure ridge. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs near 30°C following thunderstorms that capped April 24 at 22°C. Historical April climatology supports such peaks, with average highs around 26°C but frequent 30°C outliers in clear conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 31°C or measurement revisions, though evening cooling to 20-22°C minimizes risks; final daily summary expected soon from CMA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$121,209Дата завершення
Apr 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 23, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on April 25, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport recording peak afternoon readings of exactly 30°C under sunny skies, light winds, and springtime subsidence from a subtropical high-pressure ridge. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs near 30°C following thunderstorms that capped April 24 at 22°C. Historical April climatology supports such peaks, with average highs around 26°C but frequent 30°C outliers in clear conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 31°C or measurement revisions, though evening cooling to 20-22°C minimizes risks; final daily summary expected soon from CMA.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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