Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,768 Обс.
$68,768 Обс.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,768 Обс.
$68,768 Обс.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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