Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 14?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,398 Обс.
$61,398 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,398 Обс.
$61,398 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
23°C or below
$151 Обс.
No
24°C
$151 Обс.
No
25°C
$568 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,320 Обс.
No
27°C
$3,364 Обс.
No
28°C
$5,542 Обс.
No
29°C
$4,844 Обс.
No
30°C
$7,159 Обс.
No
31°C
$9,847 Обс.
No
32°C
$14,480 Обс.
Yes
33°C or higher
$10,973 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$61,398Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$61,398Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and regional models indicate a daytime peak of 32°C in Guangzhou on June 14, driven by typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating without convective cooling. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance show temperatures stabilizing near this threshold, aligning with historical June averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 32°C as the daily high. Realistic challenges include rapid afternoon thunderstorm development, which could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or minor discrepancies in official station measurements versus model outputs that might shift the recorded maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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