Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 7?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 7?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,621 Обс.
$110,621 Обс.
Jun 7, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,621 Обс.
$110,621 Обс.
Jun 7, 2026
26°C or below
$1,963 Обс.
No
27°C
$215 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,673 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,885 Обс.
No
30°C
$4,428 Обс.
No
31°C
$4,490 Обс.
No
32°C
$4,084 Обс.
No
33°C
$4,188 Обс.
No
34°C
$37,117 Обс.
No
35°C
$18,855 Обс.
Yes
36°C or higher
$30,724 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$110,621Дата завершення
Jun 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$110,621Дата завершення
Jun 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання