Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Guangzhou on May 9, reflecting official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where readings peaked at 24°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Overcast skies and rain from a passing frontal system suppressed daytime heating, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS model ensembles that forecasted subdued highs below 26°C—well under May's climatological average of 29–30°C. With the day concluding and no further solar heating possible, probabilities exceed 99%; only an improbable post-sunset data revision by the China Meteorological Administration could challenge this positioning. Final airport reports expected within 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 9?
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$60,580 Обс.
$60,580 Обс.
May 9, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$60,580 Обс.
$60,580 Обс.
May 9, 2026
15°C or below
$5,452 Обс.
No
16°C
$4,544 Обс.
No
17°C
$5,256 Обс.
No
18°C
$3,991 Обс.
No
19°C
$4,199 Обс.
No
20°C
$4,372 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,906 Обс.
No
22°C
$5,793 Обс.
No
23°C
$6,080 Обс.
No
24°C
$7,776 Обс.
Yes
25°C or higher
$9,212 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Guangzhou on May 9, reflecting official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where readings peaked at 24°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Overcast skies and rain from a passing frontal system suppressed daytime heating, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS model ensembles that forecasted subdued highs below 26°C—well under May's climatological average of 29–30°C. With the day concluding and no further solar heating possible, probabilities exceed 99%; only an improbable post-sunset data revision by the China Meteorological Administration could challenge this positioning. Final airport reports expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Обсяг
$60,580Дата завершення
May 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Guangzhou on May 9, reflecting official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where readings peaked at 24°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Overcast skies and rain from a passing frontal system suppressed daytime heating, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS model ensembles that forecasted subdued highs below 26°C—well under May's climatological average of 29–30°C. With the day concluding and no further solar heating possible, probabilities exceed 99%; only an improbable post-sunset data revision by the China Meteorological Administration could challenge this positioning. Final airport reports expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$60,580Дата завершення
May 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Guangzhou on May 9, reflecting official observational data from Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where readings peaked at 24°C amid persistent cloud cover and showers. Overcast skies and rain from a passing frontal system suppressed daytime heating, aligning with consensus from ECMWF and GFS model ensembles that forecasted subdued highs below 26°C—well under May's climatological average of 29–30°C. With the day concluding and no further solar heating possible, probabilities exceed 99%; only an improbable post-sunset data revision by the China Meteorological Administration could challenge this positioning. Final airport reports expected within 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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