Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Ended: May 3

Jul 24

Jul 25

Jul 26

Jul 27

Ended: May 3

Jul 24

Jul 25

Jul 26

Jul 27

29°C 100.0%

21°C or below <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$280,114 Обс.

29°C 100.0%

21°C or below <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$280,114 Обс.

21°C or below

$10,432 Обс.

No

22°C

$6,952 Обс.

No

23°C

$8,935 Обс.

No

24°C

$8,234 Обс.

No

25°C

$6,571 Обс.

No

26°C

$31,916 Обс.

No

27°C

$47,615 Обс.

No

28°C

$55,135 Обс.

No

29°C

$46,401 Обс.

Yes

30°C

$36,366 Обс.

No

31°C or higher

$21,557 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$280,114
Дата завершення
May 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations from its reference station at King's Park—the benchmark for maximum air temperature—recorded a peak of 29.2°C on May 3, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 29°C as the unanimous trader consensus backed by real capital. This aligns with pre-event 9-day forecasts projecting around 29°C under mainly fine conditions transitioning to showers from a nearby cold front and thunderstorms over Guangdong, consistent with early May's normal to above-normal temperatures amid subtropical high pressure influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-measurement, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or instrument recalibrations, though preliminary readings from automated stations carry high reliability. Final monthly verification expected soon.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$280,114
Дата завершення
May 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:21 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

icon for Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 14°C or below on May 20?

Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 14°C or below on May 20?

50%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 15°C or below on May 20?

Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 15°C or below on May 20?

50%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C or below on May 21?

Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C or below on May 21?

50%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «29°C» з 100%, далі «21°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?» згенерував $280.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?» — «29°C» з 100%. Наступний — «21°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.