Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 3?
96-97°F 38%
98-99°F 30%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
38%
98-99°F
30%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 38%
98-99°F 30%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
87°F or below
$437 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$141 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$98 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$45 Обс.
3%
94-95°F
$57 Обс.
18%
96-97°F
$130 Обс.
38%
98-99°F
$221 Обс.
30%
100-101°F
$66 Обс.
15%
102-103°F
$66 Обс.
3%
104-105°F
$50 Обс.
1%
106°F or higher
$117 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,427Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,427Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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