Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 1 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with south winds of 5-10 mph and heat indices reaching 105-108°F, placing the 98-99°F outcome narrowly ahead in trader consensus over 96-97°F. Subtle model differences contribute to the tight spread, with the European ensemble suggesting slight moderation from the current ridge while American guidance holds warmer; any increase in afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August normals near 95°F and the ongoing late-July heat wave provide context, though short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 1?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 1?
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
3%
108°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 29%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
89°F or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$10 Обс.
2%
92-93°F
$10 Обс.
3%
94-95°F
$10 Обс.
9%
96-97°F
$80 Обс.
29%
98-99°F
$92 Обс.
41%
100-101°F
$18 Обс.
14%
102-103°F
$10 Обс.
9%
104-105°F
$10 Обс.
3%
106-107°F
$5 Обс.
3%
108°F or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 1 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with south winds of 5-10 mph and heat indices reaching 105-108°F, placing the 98-99°F outcome narrowly ahead in trader consensus over 96-97°F. Subtle model differences contribute to the tight spread, with the European ensemble suggesting slight moderation from the current ridge while American guidance holds warmer; any increase in afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August normals near 95°F and the ongoing late-July heat wave provide context, though short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$260Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 1 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with south winds of 5-10 mph and heat indices reaching 105-108°F, placing the 98-99°F outcome narrowly ahead in trader consensus over 96-97°F. Subtle model differences contribute to the tight spread, with the European ensemble suggesting slight moderation from the current ridge while American guidance holds warmer; any increase in afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August normals near 95°F and the ongoing late-July heat wave provide context, though short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$260Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 1 project a high near 98°F under mostly sunny skies with south winds of 5-10 mph and heat indices reaching 105-108°F, placing the 98-99°F outcome narrowly ahead in trader consensus over 96-97°F. Subtle model differences contribute to the tight spread, with the European ensemble suggesting slight moderation from the current ridge while American guidance holds warmer; any increase in afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection could trim the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August normals near 95°F and the ongoing late-July heat wave provide context, though short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture remain the key variables ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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