Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF place São Paulo’s August 1 maximum near 26–28 °C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This positioning keeps 27 °C and 28 °C as the closest market outcomes, reflecting small differences in predicted solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of peak temperature. Urban heat-island effects around the Guarulhos reference station can add 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural areas, while model spread in low-level moisture and afternoon convection introduces the remaining uncertainty. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, but the current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 27 °C or 28 °C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 1?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 1?
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 23%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
23%
27°C
40%
28°C
29%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 40%
28°C 29%
26°C 23%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
21°C or below
$168 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$159 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$163 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$35 Обс.
3%
25°C
$198 Обс.
6%
26°C
$697 Обс.
23%
27°C
$4,348 Обс.
40%
28°C
$540 Обс.
29%
29°C
$232 Обс.
7%
30°C
$170 Обс.
3%
31°C or higher
$20 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF place São Paulo’s August 1 maximum near 26–28 °C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This positioning keeps 27 °C and 28 °C as the closest market outcomes, reflecting small differences in predicted solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of peak temperature. Urban heat-island effects around the Guarulhos reference station can add 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural areas, while model spread in low-level moisture and afternoon convection introduces the remaining uncertainty. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, but the current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 27 °C or 28 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,730Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF place São Paulo’s August 1 maximum near 26–28 °C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This positioning keeps 27 °C and 28 °C as the closest market outcomes, reflecting small differences in predicted solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of peak temperature. Urban heat-island effects around the Guarulhos reference station can add 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural areas, while model spread in low-level moisture and afternoon convection introduces the remaining uncertainty. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, but the current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 27 °C or 28 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,730Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF place São Paulo’s August 1 maximum near 26–28 °C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest daytime warming during Southern Hemisphere winter. This positioning keeps 27 °C and 28 °C as the closest market outcomes, reflecting small differences in predicted solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of peak temperature. Urban heat-island effects around the Guarulhos reference station can add 1–2 °C relative to surrounding rural areas, while model spread in low-level moisture and afternoon convection introduces the remaining uncertainty. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, but the current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the 27 °C or 28 °C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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