Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on August 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 1?
92-93°F 45%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 13%
88-89°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
45%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 45%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 13%
88-89°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 1, 2026
85°F or below
$5 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
3%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
5%
90-91°F
$0 Обс.
13%
92-93°F
$0 Обс.
45%
94-95°F
$145 Обс.
30%
96-97°F
$54 Обс.
5%
98-99°F
$15 Обс.
1%
100-101°F
$10 Обс.
1%
102-103°F
$5 Обс.
1%
104°F or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$239Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$239Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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