Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 16?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,732 Обс.
$42,732 Обс.
Jul 16, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,732 Обс.
$42,732 Обс.
Jul 16, 2026
22°C or below
$669 Обс.
No
23°C
$630 Обс.
No
24°C
$1,444 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,401 Обс.
No
26°C
$5,841 Обс.
No
27°C
$9,632 Обс.
No
28°C
$10,930 Обс.
Yes
29°C
$5,208 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,226 Обс.
No
31°C
$1,943 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$808 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,732Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42,732Дата завершення
Jul 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position 27–29°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s July 16 daily maximum, reflecting a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge with modest northerly flow limiting extreme heat. Current conditions show partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 29–30°C, consistent with mid-July climatology where average maxima reach 28–30°C. Model consensus shows low spread through the 48-hour window, though minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any diurnal peak could adjust the recorded high by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical outputs heavily given the short forecast horizon and official verification from Turkish meteorological stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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