Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 22°C during the early afternoon of May 7, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings topping out at 22°C under partly cloudy skies before cooling to 18.7°C by late evening. This outcome reflects a mild rebound from the recent early-May cold snap—highs of 12–18°C on May 3–6 driven by northerly Black Sea airflows—with GFS and ECMWF models accurately forecasting 22–23°C highs amid a building high-pressure ridge and light winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this data-backed certainty, though a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's quality-controlled archive could theoretically shift it; final MGM daily summaries expected soon affirm the reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 7?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$90,104 Обс.
$90,104 Обс.
May 7, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$90,104 Обс.
$90,104 Обс.
May 7, 2026
14°C or below
$1,455 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,292 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,369 Обс.
No
17°C
$4,660 Обс.
No
18°C
$4,348 Обс.
No
19°C
$4,311 Обс.
No
20°C
$5,254 Обс.
No
21°C
$27,417 Обс.
No
22°C
$16,204 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$12,094 Обс.
No
24°C or higher
$10,699 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 22°C during the early afternoon of May 7, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings topping out at 22°C under partly cloudy skies before cooling to 18.7°C by late evening. This outcome reflects a mild rebound from the recent early-May cold snap—highs of 12–18°C on May 3–6 driven by northerly Black Sea airflows—with GFS and ECMWF models accurately forecasting 22–23°C highs amid a building high-pressure ridge and light winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this data-backed certainty, though a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's quality-controlled archive could theoretically shift it; final MGM daily summaries expected soon affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Обсяг
$90,104Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 22°C during the early afternoon of May 7, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings topping out at 22°C under partly cloudy skies before cooling to 18.7°C by late evening. This outcome reflects a mild rebound from the recent early-May cold snap—highs of 12–18°C on May 3–6 driven by northerly Black Sea airflows—with GFS and ECMWF models accurately forecasting 22–23°C highs amid a building high-pressure ridge and light winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this data-backed certainty, though a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's quality-controlled archive could theoretically shift it; final MGM daily summaries expected soon affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$90,104Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport, the market's designated resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 22°C during the early afternoon of May 7, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) hourly readings topping out at 22°C under partly cloudy skies before cooling to 18.7°C by late evening. This outcome reflects a mild rebound from the recent early-May cold snap—highs of 12–18°C on May 3–6 driven by northerly Black Sea airflows—with GFS and ECMWF models accurately forecasting 22–23°C highs amid a building high-pressure ridge and light winds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores this data-backed certainty, though a rare post hoc revision in NOAA's quality-controlled archive could theoretically shift it; final MGM daily summaries expected soon affirm the reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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