Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on May 8?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 8?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,925 Обс.
$44,925 Обс.
May 8, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,925 Обс.
$44,925 Обс.
May 8, 2026
26°C or below
$1,074 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,388 Обс.
No
28°C
$10,727 Обс.
No
29°C
$5,140 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,159 Обс.
No
31°C
$2,176 Обс.
No
32°C
$3,383 Обс.
No
33°C
$4,075 Обс.
No
34°C
$6,434 Обс.
Yes
35°C
$3,508 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$3,860 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Обсяг
$44,925Дата завершення
May 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$44,925Дата завершення
May 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання