Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on May 9?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 9?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 Обс.
$48,236 Обс.
May 9, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 Обс.
$48,236 Обс.
May 9, 2026
27°C or below
$6,341 Обс.
No
28°C
$3,225 Обс.
No
29°C
$3,599 Обс.
No
30°C
$3,404 Обс.
No
31°C
$2,370 Обс.
No
32°C
$2,739 Обс.
No
33°C
$4,539 Обс.
No
34°C
$9,649 Обс.
Yes
35°C
$4,453 Обс.
No
36°C
$4,076 Обс.
No
37°C or higher
$3,840 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Обсяг
$48,236Дата завершення
May 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$48,236Дата завершення
May 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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