Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 3?
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 33%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 33%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
71°F or below
$68 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$404 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$37 Обс.
10%
76-77°F
$82 Обс.
33%
78-79°F
$290 Обс.
43%
80-81°F
$131 Обс.
14%
82-83°F
$30 Обс.
3%
84-85°F
$34 Обс.
2%
86-87°F
$51 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$132 Обс.
1%
90°F or higher
$135 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,396Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,396Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a highest temperature near downtown Los Angeles or LAX of 76–79 °F on August 3, keeping the 78–79 °F bin narrowly ahead in trader consensus. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to moderate daytime heating despite clear skies, while any slight delay in fog clearance or modest strengthening of the sea breeze could cap readings at 76–77 °F. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with limited upside risk from offshore flow or subsidence that would be needed to reach 80 °F or higher. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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