Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 24?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 Обс.
$149,214 Обс.
Apr 24, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$149,214 Обс.
$149,214 Обс.
Apr 24, 2026
18°C or below
$9,467 Обс.
No
19°C
$12,373 Обс.
No
20°C
$13,974 Обс.
No
21°C
$15,606 Обс.
No
22°C
$21,511 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$24,517 Обс.
No
24°C
$15,281 Обс.
No
25°C
$16,843 Обс.
No
26°C
$7,784 Обс.
No
27°C
$4,013 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$7,847 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Обсяг
$149,214Дата завершення
Apr 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$149,214Дата завершення
Apr 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution authority, recorded a maximum temperature of 22.1°C at 16:30 on April 24, 2026, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome. Cloudy skies, scattered showers, and northerly winds capping daytime heating—consistent with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and AEMET—prevented higher readings, aligning with April climatological averages around 19–20°C for Madrid. While final hourly data certification could prompt minor revisions, such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5°C post-verification; an improbable late-afternoon sensor recalibration or overlooked peak above 22.5°C would be needed to shift odds, but current observations show stability. Traders await AEMET's end-of-day summary for confirmation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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