Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 10?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,310 Обс.
$141,310 Обс.
May 10, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$141,310 Обс.
$141,310 Обс.
May 10, 2026
13°C or below
$8,667 Обс.
No
14°C
$8,312 Обс.
No
15°C
$16,717 Обс.
No
16°C
$20,144 Обс.
Yes
17°C
$24,122 Обс.
No
18°C
$24,782 Обс.
No
19°C
$16,454 Обс.
No
20°C
$9,679 Обс.
No
21°C
$6,666 Обс.
No
22°C
$3,470 Обс.
No
23°C or higher
$2,298 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$141,310Дата завершення
May 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$141,310Дата завершення
May 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm a highest temperature of 16°C on May 10, with midday readings near 15°C also at Retiro Park, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as final data solidified overnight. This aligned precisely with AEMET's forecast guidance projecting maxima around 16°C under overcast skies and cool northerly winds, remnants of the severe hailstorm and flash floods that struck Madrid on May 7, suppressing convective heating. While Madrid's May climatology averages highs near 21°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here), the mid-level trough pattern created anomalously cool conditions across models like ECMWF and GFS. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from sensor discrepancies—are unlikely given cross-station consistency.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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