Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 5?
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$57,035 Обс.
$57,035 Обс.
Jul 5, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$57,035 Обс.
$57,035 Обс.
Jul 5, 2026
55°F or below
$3,785 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$4,205 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$3,611 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$3,427 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$4,327 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$7,483 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$7,225 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$10,533 Обс.
Yes
70-71°F
$5,764 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$2,680 Обс.
No
74°F or higher
$3,995 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$57,035Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$57,035Дата завершення
Jul 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow limiting San Francisco's July 5 high to the mid-to-upper 60s, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 25% implied probability. Variable fog depth, cloud timing, and local wind shifts create substantial uncertainty, spreading probability across multiple 2°F brackets and reflecting typical summer microclimate variability along the immediate coast. Historical July averages near 70°F provide context, yet current model consensus favors cooler conditions than inland areas. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations from official stations will likely drive any late shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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