Recent forecasts from GFS and other models point to a daytime high in Moscow on September 26 centered on 15–17°C, with afternoon peaks most often projected near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. A cooler air mass arriving after warmer conditions earlier in the week has reduced maximum temperatures from the mid-20s°C range, while limited insolation and stable high pressure suppress further warming. This consensus across official and ensemble guidance explains the strong market weighting toward 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow forecast spread and typical September variability for the region. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 26?
16°C 46%
17°C 25%
20°C 19%
15°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 26, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
12%
15°C
17%
16°C
46%
17°C
25%
18°C
17%
19°C
11%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
16°C 46%
17°C 25%
20°C 19%
15°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 26, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
13°C
$0 Обс.
4%
14°C
$0 Обс.
12%
15°C
$0 Обс.
17%
16°C
$117 Обс.
46%
17°C
$0 Обс.
25%
18°C
$0 Обс.
17%
19°C
$0 Обс.
11%
20°C
$0 Обс.
19%
21°C
$0 Обс.
5%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models point to a daytime high in Moscow on September 26 centered on 15–17°C, with afternoon peaks most often projected near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. A cooler air mass arriving after warmer conditions earlier in the week has reduced maximum temperatures from the mid-20s°C range, while limited insolation and stable high pressure suppress further warming. This consensus across official and ensemble guidance explains the strong market weighting toward 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow forecast spread and typical September variability for the region. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$117Дата завершення
Sep 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models point to a daytime high in Moscow on September 26 centered on 15–17°C, with afternoon peaks most often projected near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. A cooler air mass arriving after warmer conditions earlier in the week has reduced maximum temperatures from the mid-20s°C range, while limited insolation and stable high pressure suppress further warming. This consensus across official and ensemble guidance explains the strong market weighting toward 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow forecast spread and typical September variability for the region. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$117Дата завершення
Sep 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models point to a daytime high in Moscow on September 26 centered on 15–17°C, with afternoon peaks most often projected near 16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. A cooler air mass arriving after warmer conditions earlier in the week has reduced maximum temperatures from the mid-20s°C range, while limited insolation and stable high pressure suppress further warming. This consensus across official and ensemble guidance explains the strong market weighting toward 16°C and 17°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes given the narrow forecast spread and typical September variability for the region. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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