Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$101,541 Обс.
$101,541 Обс.
May 22, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$101,541 Обс.
$101,541 Обс.
May 22, 2026
27°C or below
$1,619 Обс.
No
28°C
$1,993 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,369 Обс.
No
30°C
$6,335 Обс.
No
31°C
$18,291 Обс.
No
32°C
$19,916 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$25,653 Обс.
No
34°C
$9,487 Обс.
No
35°C
$7,269 Обс.
No
36°C
$5,686 Обс.
No
37°C or higher
$3,924 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Обсяг
$101,541Дата завершення
May 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$101,541Дата завершення
May 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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