Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 24?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,891 Обс.
$60,891 Обс.
May 24, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,891 Обс.
$60,891 Обс.
May 24, 2026
26°C or below
$1,702 Обс.
No
27°C
$669 Обс.
No
28°C
$2,177 Обс.
No
29°C
$4,120 Обс.
No
30°C
$6,008 Обс.
No
31°C
$7,514 Обс.
No
32°C
$15,051 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$10,960 Обс.
No
34°C
$7,858 Обс.
No
35°C
$3,341 Обс.
No
36°C or higher
$1,490 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Обсяг
$60,891Дата завершення
May 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$60,891Дата завершення
May 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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