Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 36°C as Manila's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, driven by official observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 36°C during afternoon hours, corroborated by PAGASA's Science Garden station recording 35.7°C at 3:00 PM amid easterly winds fostering partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. PAGASA's pre-day forecasts accurately predicted Metro Manila highs of 35–36°C under these conditions, consistent with April's climatological norms during the dry-hot season when highs often reach 33–37°C. With peak solar heating past and temperatures declining into evening, realistic challenges like a brief clearing and late surge are improbable given current downward trends and model consensus; final data finalization will confirm.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on April 26?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 26?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$29,580 Обс.
$29,580 Обс.
Apr 26, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$29,580 Обс.
$29,580 Обс.
Apr 26, 2026
30°C or below
$1,755 Обс.
No
31°C
$986 Обс.
No
32°C
$1,333 Обс.
No
33°C
$2,931 Обс.
No
34°C
$7,149 Обс.
No
35°C
$1,364 Обс.
No
36°C
$4,757 Обс.
Yes
37°C
$1,448 Обс.
No
38°C
$2,321 Обс.
No
39°C
$2,758 Обс.
No
40°C or higher
$2,779 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 36°C as Manila's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, driven by official observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 36°C during afternoon hours, corroborated by PAGASA's Science Garden station recording 35.7°C at 3:00 PM amid easterly winds fostering partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. PAGASA's pre-day forecasts accurately predicted Metro Manila highs of 35–36°C under these conditions, consistent with April's climatological norms during the dry-hot season when highs often reach 33–37°C. With peak solar heating past and temperatures declining into evening, realistic challenges like a brief clearing and late surge are improbable given current downward trends and model consensus; final data finalization will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,580Дата завершення
Apr 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 36°C as Manila's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, driven by official observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 36°C during afternoon hours, corroborated by PAGASA's Science Garden station recording 35.7°C at 3:00 PM amid easterly winds fostering partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. PAGASA's pre-day forecasts accurately predicted Metro Manila highs of 35–36°C under these conditions, consistent with April's climatological norms during the dry-hot season when highs often reach 33–37°C. With peak solar heating past and temperatures declining into evening, realistic challenges like a brief clearing and late surge are improbable given current downward trends and model consensus; final data finalization will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$29,580Дата завершення
Apr 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 36°C as Manila's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, driven by official observations at Ninoy Aquino International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—peaking at 36°C during afternoon hours, corroborated by PAGASA's Science Garden station recording 35.7°C at 3:00 PM amid easterly winds fostering partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. PAGASA's pre-day forecasts accurately predicted Metro Manila highs of 35–36°C under these conditions, consistent with April's climatological norms during the dry-hot season when highs often reach 33–37°C. With peak solar heating past and temperatures declining into evening, realistic challenges like a brief clearing and late surge are improbable given current downward trends and model consensus; final data finalization will confirm.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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