Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 25?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$43,153 Обс.
$43,153 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$43,153 Обс.
$43,153 Обс.
Jun 25, 2026
17°C or below
$3,838 Обс.
No
18°C
$2,049 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,896 Обс.
No
20°C
$3,443 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,839 Обс.
No
22°C
$3,181 Обс.
No
23°C
$13,376 Обс.
No
24°C
$5,018 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$4,829 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,394 Обс.
No
27°C or higher
$2,290 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$43,153Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$43,153Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання