National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on May 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 2?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$166,472 Обс.
$166,472 Обс.
May 2, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$166,472 Обс.
$166,472 Обс.
May 2, 2026
83°F or below
$5,047 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$7,928 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$7,776 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$21,924 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$22,918 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$23,342 Обс.
No
94-95°F
$27,561 Обс.
Yes
96-97°F
$20,128 Обс.
No
98-99°F
$7,801 Обс.
No
100-101°F
$10,572 Обс.
No
102°F or higher
$11,475 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$166,472Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$166,472Дата завершення
May 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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