**Ongoing extreme heat across the Chicago area, driven by a persistent high-pressure dome and southwesterly flow advecting warm, humid air, has concentrated market-implied odds on 94–97°F for July 1.** National Weather Service forecasts project highs near 95–96°F under mostly sunny skies, with heat indices exceeding 105°F, consistent with an active Extreme Heat Warning through the evening. This setup deviates sharply from the July 1 climatological normal of 84°F, reflecting strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover that favors peak solar heating. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on subtle factors such as afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor model spread in maximum temperatures, which could shift the official reading (typically at O’Hare or Midway) by 1–2°F. With resolution imminent, trader consensus closely tracks the latest NWS guidance and ensemble means.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on July 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 1?
94-95°F 100%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$85,095 Обс.
$85,095 Обс.
Jul 1, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$85,095 Обс.
$85,095 Обс.
Jul 1, 2026
87°F or below
$3,830 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$3,358 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$28,648 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$18,072 Обс.
No
94-95°F
$7,227 Обс.
Yes
96-97°F
$7,799 Обс.
No
98-99°F
$2,395 Обс.
No
100-101°F
$2,339 Обс.
No
102-103°F
$3,568 Обс.
No
104-105°F
$3,039 Обс.
No
106°F or higher
$4,819 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing extreme heat across the Chicago area, driven by a persistent high-pressure dome and southwesterly flow advecting warm, humid air, has concentrated market-implied odds on 94–97°F for July 1.** National Weather Service forecasts project highs near 95–96°F under mostly sunny skies, with heat indices exceeding 105°F, consistent with an active Extreme Heat Warning through the evening. This setup deviates sharply from the July 1 climatological normal of 84°F, reflecting strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover that favors peak solar heating.
Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on subtle factors such as afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor model spread in maximum temperatures, which could shift the official reading (typically at O’Hare or Midway) by 1–2°F. With resolution imminent, trader consensus closely tracks the latest NWS guidance and ensemble means.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$85,095Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing extreme heat across the Chicago area, driven by a persistent high-pressure dome and southwesterly flow advecting warm, humid air, has concentrated market-implied odds on 94–97°F for July 1.** National Weather Service forecasts project highs near 95–96°F under mostly sunny skies, with heat indices exceeding 105°F, consistent with an active Extreme Heat Warning through the evening. This setup deviates sharply from the July 1 climatological normal of 84°F, reflecting strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover that favors peak solar heating.
Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on subtle factors such as afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor model spread in maximum temperatures, which could shift the official reading (typically at O’Hare or Midway) by 1–2°F. With resolution imminent, trader consensus closely tracks the latest NWS guidance and ensemble means.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$85,095Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Ongoing extreme heat across the Chicago area, driven by a persistent high-pressure dome and southwesterly flow advecting warm, humid air, has concentrated market-implied odds on 94–97°F for July 1.** National Weather Service forecasts project highs near 95–96°F under mostly sunny skies, with heat indices exceeding 105°F, consistent with an active Extreme Heat Warning through the evening. This setup deviates sharply from the July 1 climatological normal of 84°F, reflecting strong subsidence and minimal cloud cover that favors peak solar heating. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on subtle factors such as afternoon convective timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor model spread in maximum temperatures, which could shift the official reading (typically at O’Hare or Midway) by 1–2°F. With resolution imminent, trader consensus closely tracks the latest NWS guidance and ensemble means.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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