Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF converge on a peak temperature near 24°C for Munich on July 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23°C and 25°C. This setup aligns with typical mid-July climatology, where average highs reach 24–25°C, while limited destabilization keeps extreme outliers below 10% probability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on July 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 18?
24°C 34%
23°C 27%
22°C 21%
25°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 18, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
21%
23°C
27%
24°C
34%
25°C
10%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
23°C 27%
22°C 21%
25°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 18, 2026
19°C or below
$283 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$60 Обс.
1%
21°C
$30 Обс.
9%
22°C
$32 Обс.
21%
23°C
$33 Обс.
27%
24°C
$51 Обс.
34%
25°C
$811 Обс.
10%
26°C
$196 Обс.
4%
27°C
$33 Обс.
1%
28°C
$33 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$53 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF converge on a peak temperature near 24°C for Munich on July 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23°C and 25°C. This setup aligns with typical mid-July climatology, where average highs reach 24–25°C, while limited destabilization keeps extreme outliers below 10% probability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,613Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF converge on a peak temperature near 24°C for Munich on July 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23°C and 25°C. This setup aligns with typical mid-July climatology, where average highs reach 24–25°C, while limited destabilization keeps extreme outliers below 10% probability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,613Дата завершення
Jul 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF converge on a peak temperature near 24°C for Munich on July 18, driven by moderate westerly flow, scattered thundery showers, and variable cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23°C and 25°C. This setup aligns with typical mid-July climatology, where average highs reach 24–25°C, while limited destabilization keeps extreme outliers below 10% probability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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