Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over central Poland, with widespread cloud cover and isolated showers limiting daytime heating and keeping Warsaw's July 20 maximum near 18–21 °C. This setup stems from northwesterly flow behind a passing front, contrasting typical July highs of 23–25 °C. Model runs show modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and any afternoon breaks in cloud, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–22 °C brackets. Updated guidance from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles, along with local observations, will refine the final high before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 20?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 20?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$44,016 Обс.
$44,016 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$44,016 Обс.
$44,016 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
15°C or below
$233 Обс.
No
16°C
$237 Обс.
No
17°C
$2,535 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,055 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,919 Обс.
No
20°C
$13,761 Обс.
Yes
21°C
$7,497 Обс.
No
22°C
$5,258 Обс.
No
23°C
$6,030 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,356 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$1,135 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over central Poland, with widespread cloud cover and isolated showers limiting daytime heating and keeping Warsaw's July 20 maximum near 18–21 °C. This setup stems from northwesterly flow behind a passing front, contrasting typical July highs of 23–25 °C. Model runs show modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and any afternoon breaks in cloud, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–22 °C brackets. Updated guidance from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles, along with local observations, will refine the final high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$44,016Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over central Poland, with widespread cloud cover and isolated showers limiting daytime heating and keeping Warsaw's July 20 maximum near 18–21 °C. This setup stems from northwesterly flow behind a passing front, contrasting typical July highs of 23–25 °C. Model runs show modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and any afternoon breaks in cloud, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–22 °C brackets. Updated guidance from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles, along with local observations, will refine the final high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$44,016Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecasts from global models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over central Poland, with widespread cloud cover and isolated showers limiting daytime heating and keeping Warsaw's July 20 maximum near 18–21 °C. This setup stems from northwesterly flow behind a passing front, contrasting typical July highs of 23–25 °C. Model runs show modest spread tied to exact precipitation timing and any afternoon breaks in cloud, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 20–22 °C brackets. Updated guidance from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles, along with local observations, will refine the final high before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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