**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.** This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on June 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 14?
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$85,507 Обс.
$85,507 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$85,507 Обс.
$85,507 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
83°F or below
$3,925 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$6,244 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$17,856 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$15,691 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$19,158 Обс.
Yes
92-93°F
$8,782 Обс.
No
94-95°F
$8,714 Обс.
No
96-97°F
$2,565 Обс.
No
98-99°F
$1,458 Обс.
No
100-101°F
$572 Обс.
No
102°F or higher
$541 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.**
This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$85,507Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.**
This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$85,507Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.** This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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