Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 31?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 31?
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$101,127 Обс.
$101,127 Обс.
May 31, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$101,127 Обс.
$101,127 Обс.
May 31, 2026
67°F or below
$3,967 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$1,168 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$7,607 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$20,955 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$16,307 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$22,873 Обс.
Yes
78-79°F
$13,502 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$8,711 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$3,802 Обс.
No
84-85°F
$1,185 Обс.
No
86°F or higher
$1,050 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$101,127Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$101,127Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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