Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32–33°C peaks in Panama City on August 2 because short-range forecast models show afternoon highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of ~29–30°C. Differentiation between these close outcomes hinges on the balance of incoming solar radiation, cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and convective rainfall typical of the rainy season. Reduced afternoon thunderstorms or delayed sea-breeze cooling could push readings to 33°C, while persistent cloudiness or stronger onshore flow would cap them nearer 32°C. Official monitoring from regional meteorological agencies and updated model runs will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on August 2?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 2?
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
31°C 19%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
37%
33°C
42%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
31°C 19%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 2, 2026
27°C or below
$65 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$20 Обс.
2%
29°C
$67 Обс.
2%
30°C
$59 Обс.
4%
31°C
$119 Обс.
19%
32°C
$160 Обс.
37%
33°C
$882 Обс.
42%
34°C
$58 Обс.
3%
35°C
$69 Обс.
2%
36°C
$73 Обс.
1%
37°C or higher
$112 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32–33°C peaks in Panama City on August 2 because short-range forecast models show afternoon highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of ~29–30°C. Differentiation between these close outcomes hinges on the balance of incoming solar radiation, cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and convective rainfall typical of the rainy season. Reduced afternoon thunderstorms or delayed sea-breeze cooling could push readings to 33°C, while persistent cloudiness or stronger onshore flow would cap them nearer 32°C. Official monitoring from regional meteorological agencies and updated model runs will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,684Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32–33°C peaks in Panama City on August 2 because short-range forecast models show afternoon highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of ~29–30°C. Differentiation between these close outcomes hinges on the balance of incoming solar radiation, cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and convective rainfall typical of the rainy season. Reduced afternoon thunderstorms or delayed sea-breeze cooling could push readings to 33°C, while persistent cloudiness or stronger onshore flow would cap them nearer 32°C. Official monitoring from regional meteorological agencies and updated model runs will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,684Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32–33°C peaks in Panama City on August 2 because short-range forecast models show afternoon highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of ~29–30°C. Differentiation between these close outcomes hinges on the balance of incoming solar radiation, cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, and convective rainfall typical of the rainy season. Reduced afternoon thunderstorms or delayed sea-breeze cooling could push readings to 33°C, while persistent cloudiness or stronger onshore flow would cap them nearer 32°C. Official monitoring from regional meteorological agencies and updated model runs will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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