Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on April 29?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on April 29?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,742 Обс.
$32,742 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,742 Обс.
$32,742 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
17°C or below
$9,587 Обс.
No
18°C
$6,786 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,835 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,108 Обс.
No
21°C
$8,081 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$904 Обс.
No
23°C
$352 Обс.
No
24°C
$184 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,343 Обс.
No
26°C
$254 Обс.
No
27°C or higher
$308 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$32,742Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$32,742Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C at 100% implied probability for Qingdao's highest temperature on April 29, driven by official observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C per recent METAR reports amid clear skies and light southwest winds. China Meteorological Administration forecasts aligned with this, projecting a 19-21°C high under typical spring diurnal heating patterns, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 15-18°C but vary with high-pressure influence. Current evening cooling to around 16°C, post-sunset, solidifies this positioning; a realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon measurement revision or unreported sensor anomaly before daily close, with final data expected from CMA by midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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