Current National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on July 2 points to a high near 68°F under strengthening onshore flow and a deeper marine layer, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F (35.5%) and 70-71°F (25%) bins. Persistent northwest winds and coastal upwelling typical of early July suppress inland heat transport, keeping downtown readings several degrees below the seasonal 70°F average. Recent forecast discussions note gusty conditions Friday that could limit afternoon warming further, while any temporary marine-layer thinning might briefly allow 70-71°F readings. Traders appear to weigh these short-term NWS updates and ensemble consensus heavily, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range this close to the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 2?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 2?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$77,893 Обс.
$77,893 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$77,893 Обс.
$77,893 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
59°F or below
$3,256 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$2,052 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$2,755 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$11,878 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$13,511 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$10,576 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$11,079 Обс.
Yes
72-73°F
$7,459 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$7,736 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$2,890 Обс.
No
78°F or higher
$4,703 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on July 2 points to a high near 68°F under strengthening onshore flow and a deeper marine layer, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F (35.5%) and 70-71°F (25%) bins. Persistent northwest winds and coastal upwelling typical of early July suppress inland heat transport, keeping downtown readings several degrees below the seasonal 70°F average. Recent forecast discussions note gusty conditions Friday that could limit afternoon warming further, while any temporary marine-layer thinning might briefly allow 70-71°F readings. Traders appear to weigh these short-term NWS updates and ensemble consensus heavily, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range this close to the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$77,893Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on July 2 points to a high near 68°F under strengthening onshore flow and a deeper marine layer, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F (35.5%) and 70-71°F (25%) bins. Persistent northwest winds and coastal upwelling typical of early July suppress inland heat transport, keeping downtown readings several degrees below the seasonal 70°F average. Recent forecast discussions note gusty conditions Friday that could limit afternoon warming further, while any temporary marine-layer thinning might briefly allow 70-71°F readings. Traders appear to weigh these short-term NWS updates and ensemble consensus heavily, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range this close to the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$77,893Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on July 2 points to a high near 68°F under strengthening onshore flow and a deeper marine layer, supporting the market's leading 68-69°F (35.5%) and 70-71°F (25%) bins. Persistent northwest winds and coastal upwelling typical of early July suppress inland heat transport, keeping downtown readings several degrees below the seasonal 70°F average. Recent forecast discussions note gusty conditions Friday that could limit afternoon warming further, while any temporary marine-layer thinning might briefly allow 70-71°F readings. Traders appear to weigh these short-term NWS updates and ensemble consensus heavily, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the narrow uncertainty range this close to the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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