Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project a Seoul daytime high of 25-26°C on April 24 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar heating, with morning observations already surpassing 21°C amid an unseasonal spring heatwave 6-8°C above the April climatological average of 18°C. This observational data and model consensus—showing minimal spread across ECMWF and GFS ensembles—have locked trader sentiment at unanimous implied probability for 21°C or higher, reflecting urban heat amplification in the Seoul basin. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or a sudden frontal boundary, though KMA hourly updates indicate low risk as the peak window nears. Final resolution awaits official KMA Seoul station daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 24?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 24?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$219,562 Обс.
$219,562 Обс.
Apr 24, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$219,562 Обс.
$219,562 Обс.
Apr 24, 2026
11°C or below
$7,122 Обс.
No
12°C
$4,797 Обс.
No
13°C
$10,790 Обс.
No
14°C
$11,338 Обс.
No
15°C
$14,250 Обс.
No
16°C
$16,488 Обс.
No
17°C
$22,471 Обс.
No
18°C
$37,719 Обс.
No
19°C
$21,278 Обс.
No
20°C
$34,858 Обс.
No
21°C or higher
$38,453 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project a Seoul daytime high of 25-26°C on April 24 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar heating, with morning observations already surpassing 21°C amid an unseasonal spring heatwave 6-8°C above the April climatological average of 18°C. This observational data and model consensus—showing minimal spread across ECMWF and GFS ensembles—have locked trader sentiment at unanimous implied probability for 21°C or higher, reflecting urban heat amplification in the Seoul basin. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or a sudden frontal boundary, though KMA hourly updates indicate low risk as the peak window nears. Final resolution awaits official KMA Seoul station daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$219,562Дата завершення
Apr 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project a Seoul daytime high of 25-26°C on April 24 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar heating, with morning observations already surpassing 21°C amid an unseasonal spring heatwave 6-8°C above the April climatological average of 18°C. This observational data and model consensus—showing minimal spread across ECMWF and GFS ensembles—have locked trader sentiment at unanimous implied probability for 21°C or higher, reflecting urban heat amplification in the Seoul basin. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or a sudden frontal boundary, though KMA hourly updates indicate low risk as the peak window nears. Final resolution awaits official KMA Seoul station daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$219,562Дата завершення
Apr 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project a Seoul daytime high of 25-26°C on April 24 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar heating, with morning observations already surpassing 21°C amid an unseasonal spring heatwave 6-8°C above the April climatological average of 18°C. This observational data and model consensus—showing minimal spread across ECMWF and GFS ensembles—have locked trader sentiment at unanimous implied probability for 21°C or higher, reflecting urban heat amplification in the Seoul basin. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover or a sudden frontal boundary, though KMA hourly updates indicate low risk as the peak window nears. Final resolution awaits official KMA Seoul station daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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