Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
18°C 100%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$208,827 Обс.
$208,827 Обс.
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$208,827 Обс.
$208,827 Обс.
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
$980 Обс.
No
11°C
$445 Обс.
No
12°C
$723 Обс.
No
13°C
$9,505 Обс.
No
14°C
$8,320 Обс.
No
15°C
$26,303 Обс.
No
16°C
$23,242 Обс.
No
17°C
$22,329 Обс.
No
18°C
$29,481 Обс.
Yes
19°C
$32,810 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$54,689 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$208,827Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$208,827Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached 18°C midday on May 4 amid hazy sunshine and light westerly winds that capped solar heating, aligning with high-resolution short-range model consensus projecting no further warming into the evening. Current late-afternoon readings hover at 18-19°C across official stations, with cooling trends under diminishing daylight reinforcing trader lock-in at 100% implied probability for 18°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of near-resolution data, cooler than the early-May climatological average of around 20°C due to atmospheric stability. Realistic challenges—such as abrupt clearing skies triggering a 1-2°C late heat burst—remain improbable given forecast stability, with final KMA daily maximum report expected post-midnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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