Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration highlight thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 8, which are capping expected peak temperatures near 30°C and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 29°C–31°C brackets. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with monsoon-season moisture supports scattered convection that reduces surface heating, while any delay or weakening in rainfall timing could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 32°C. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32°C, but recent regional tropical influences have favored slightly suppressed maxima. Updated CMA and ECMWF model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 8?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$100,544 Обс.
$100,544 Обс.
Jul 8, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$100,544 Обс.
$100,544 Обс.
Jul 8, 2026
25°C or below
$3,006 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,093 Обс.
No
27°C
$4,551 Обс.
No
28°C
$5,498 Обс.
No
29°C
$14,432 Обс.
No
30°C
$33,751 Обс.
No
31°C
$10,277 Обс.
Yes
32°C
$6,962 Обс.
No
33°C
$4,620 Обс.
No
34°C
$6,751 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$6,605 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration highlight thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 8, which are capping expected peak temperatures near 30°C and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 29°C–31°C brackets. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with monsoon-season moisture supports scattered convection that reduces surface heating, while any delay or weakening in rainfall timing could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 32°C. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32°C, but recent regional tropical influences have favored slightly suppressed maxima. Updated CMA and ECMWF model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$100,544Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration highlight thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 8, which are capping expected peak temperatures near 30°C and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 29°C–31°C brackets. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with monsoon-season moisture supports scattered convection that reduces surface heating, while any delay or weakening in rainfall timing could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 32°C. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32°C, but recent regional tropical influences have favored slightly suppressed maxima. Updated CMA and ECMWF model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$100,544Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration highlight thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 8, which are capping expected peak temperatures near 30°C and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 29°C–31°C brackets. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with monsoon-season moisture supports scattered convection that reduces surface heating, while any delay or weakening in rainfall timing could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 32°C. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32°C, but recent regional tropical influences have favored slightly suppressed maxima. Updated CMA and ECMWF model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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