Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on May 7?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 7?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,909 Обс.
$82,909 Обс.
May 7, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,909 Обс.
$82,909 Обс.
May 7, 2026
25°C or below
$742 Обс.
No
26°C
$1,450 Обс.
No
27°C
$1,985 Обс.
No
28°C
$3,968 Обс.
No
29°C
$7,995 Обс.
No
30°C
$10,446 Обс.
No
31°C
$6,122 Обс.
No
32°C
$18,205 Обс.
Yes
33°C
$15,652 Обс.
No
34°C
$10,646 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$5,698 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$82,909Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$82,909Дата завершення
May 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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