Strong subtropical high pressure combined with clear skies and urban heat-island effects has pushed official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models toward a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher at Taipei Songshan station on June 2. This setup explains the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Early-June climatology typically features highs of 31–33 °C, making the current anomalous heat episode stand out. Modest uncertainty lingers around the precise timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap readings at 34–36 °C if showers develop earlier than modeled.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on June 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 2?
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$168,731 Обс.
$168,731 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$168,731 Обс.
$168,731 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
27°C or below
$381 Обс.
No
28°C
$386 Обс.
No
29°C
$1,533 Обс.
No
30°C
$2,371 Обс.
No
31°C
$3,911 Обс.
No
32°C
$6,559 Обс.
No
33°C
$5,322 Обс.
No
34°C
$4,725 Обс.
No
35°C
$9,813 Обс.
No
36°C
$51,328 Обс.
No
37°C or higher
$82,401 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong subtropical high pressure combined with clear skies and urban heat-island effects has pushed official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models toward a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher at Taipei Songshan station on June 2. This setup explains the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Early-June climatology typically features highs of 31–33 °C, making the current anomalous heat episode stand out. Modest uncertainty lingers around the precise timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap readings at 34–36 °C if showers develop earlier than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$168,731Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong subtropical high pressure combined with clear skies and urban heat-island effects has pushed official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models toward a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher at Taipei Songshan station on June 2. This setup explains the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Early-June climatology typically features highs of 31–33 °C, making the current anomalous heat episode stand out. Modest uncertainty lingers around the precise timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap readings at 34–36 °C if showers develop earlier than modeled.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$168,731Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Strong subtropical high pressure combined with clear skies and urban heat-island effects has pushed official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models toward a daily maximum of 37 °C or higher at Taipei Songshan station on June 2. This setup explains the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that outcome. Early-June climatology typically features highs of 31–33 °C, making the current anomalous heat episode stand out. Modest uncertainty lingers around the precise timing of any afternoon convection, which could cap readings at 34–36 °C if showers develop earlier than modeled.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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