Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$58,163 Обс.
$58,163 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$58,163 Обс.
$58,163 Обс.
Apr 18, 2026
18°C or below
$1,544 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,620 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,776 Обс.
No
21°C
$2,585 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,710 Обс.
No
23°C
$3,458 Обс.
No
24°C
$5,678 Обс.
No
25°C
$6,029 Обс.
No
26°C
$16,097 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$7,028 Обс.
No
28°C or higher
$8,638 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$58,163Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$58,163Дата завершення
Apr 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport on April 18, 2026, backed by NOAA observational data showing morning readings climbing to 24–25°C amid hazy sunshine and moderate southwest winds that cap further heating. This aligns with UK Met Office and global forecast models projecting a precise 26°C peak under current atmospheric conditions, including lingering dust haze and coastal influences tempering solar insolation after recent hotter days (27–30°C) driven by high-pressure dominance. Israel Meteorological Service notes cooler national trends with winds and isolated showers elsewhere, but airport-specific data dominates resolution. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting temperatures to 27°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable given diurnal patterns and proximity to resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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