Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks at 23-24°C amid light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology averaging 22-24°C daytime highs. Preliminary observations from Israel Meteorological Service stations, including Tel Aviv Coast, support this positioning, showing midday readings approaching 24°C despite the agency's conservative 20°C cap accounting for coastal moderation. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 25°C under clearer skies or a downward measurement revision, though model divergence is minimal with resolution imminent via official IMS daily maximum at the designated station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 19?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,306 Обс.
$60,306 Обс.
Apr 19, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,306 Обс.
$60,306 Обс.
Apr 19, 2026
16°C or below
$2,552 Обс.
No
17°C
$2,156 Обс.
No
18°C
$3,157 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,099 Обс.
No
20°C
$6,968 Обс.
No
21°C
$6,966 Обс.
No
22°C
$7,341 Обс.
No
23°C
$7,645 Обс.
No
24°C
$10,596 Обс.
Yes
25°C
$4,660 Обс.
No
26°C or higher
$6,167 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks at 23-24°C amid light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology averaging 22-24°C daytime highs. Preliminary observations from Israel Meteorological Service stations, including Tel Aviv Coast, support this positioning, showing midday readings approaching 24°C despite the agency's conservative 20°C cap accounting for coastal moderation. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 25°C under clearer skies or a downward measurement revision, though model divergence is minimal with resolution imminent via official IMS daily maximum at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$60,306Дата завершення
Apr 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks at 23-24°C amid light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology averaging 22-24°C daytime highs. Preliminary observations from Israel Meteorological Service stations, including Tel Aviv Coast, support this positioning, showing midday readings approaching 24°C despite the agency's conservative 20°C cap accounting for coastal moderation. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 25°C under clearer skies or a downward measurement revision, though model divergence is minimal with resolution imminent via official IMS daily maximum at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$60,306Дата завершення
Apr 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to a 24°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which cluster peaks at 23-24°C amid light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology averaging 22-24°C daytime highs. Preliminary observations from Israel Meteorological Service stations, including Tel Aviv Coast, support this positioning, showing midday readings approaching 24°C despite the agency's conservative 20°C cap accounting for coastal moderation. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 25°C under clearer skies or a downward measurement revision, though model divergence is minimal with resolution imminent via official IMS daily maximum at the designated station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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