Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,275 Обс.
$60,275 Обс.
May 6, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,275 Обс.
$60,275 Обс.
May 6, 2026
16°C or below
$6,251 Обс.
No
17°C
$532 Обс.
No
18°C
$575 Обс.
No
19°C
$15,926 Обс.
No
20°C
$6,895 Обс.
No
21°C
$8,131 Обс.
No
22°C
$8,690 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$5,256 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,507 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,228 Обс.
No
26°C or higher
$2,284 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$60,275Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$60,275Дата завершення
May 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання