Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C in Warsaw on July 22. Modest southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective activity could cap readings at 22 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects the narrow spread in short-range guidance and the resolution threshold of 1 °C increments. Updated model runs and 48-hour verification data expected tomorrow will further constrain the outcome before settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 22?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 22?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$37,723 Обс.
$37,723 Обс.
Jul 22, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$37,723 Обс.
$37,723 Обс.
Jul 22, 2026
17°C or below
$788 Обс.
No
18°C
$4,170 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,632 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,097 Обс.
No
21°C
$4,655 Обс.
No
22°C
$8,134 Обс.
Yes
23°C
$9,145 Обс.
No
24°C
$4,488 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,735 Обс.
No
26°C
$531 Обс.
No
27°C or higher
$347 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C in Warsaw on July 22. Modest southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective activity could cap readings at 22 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects the narrow spread in short-range guidance and the resolution threshold of 1 °C increments. Updated model runs and 48-hour verification data expected tomorrow will further constrain the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,723Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C in Warsaw on July 22. Modest southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective activity could cap readings at 22 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects the narrow spread in short-range guidance and the resolution threshold of 1 °C increments. Updated model runs and 48-hour verification data expected tomorrow will further constrain the outcome before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,723Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 22–23 °C in Warsaw on July 22. Modest southerly flow and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, while any increase in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective activity could cap readings at 22 °C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects the narrow spread in short-range guidance and the resolution threshold of 1 °C increments. Updated model runs and 48-hour verification data expected tomorrow will further constrain the outcome before settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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