Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system over central Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions to Warsaw on June 23, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C based on 850 hPa temperatures and surface heating rates. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where 26°C and 27°C lead at 39.5% and 26.5%. June climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–24°C, so the elevated values stem from recent warm advection and limited cloud cover reducing diurnal cooling. Short-term model runs exhibit low spread for peak readings, though minor shifts in wind or timing of any afternoon convection could adjust the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 23?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 23?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$41,455 Обс.
$41,455 Обс.
Jun 23, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$41,455 Обс.
$41,455 Обс.
Jun 23, 2026
21°C or below
$212 Обс.
No
22°C
$1,007 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,512 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,472 Обс.
No
25°C
$8,401 Обс.
No
26°C
$9,538 Обс.
No
27°C
$5,711 Обс.
Yes
28°C
$4,277 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,757 Обс.
No
30°C
$2,050 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$1,520 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system over central Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions to Warsaw on June 23, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C based on 850 hPa temperatures and surface heating rates. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where 26°C and 27°C lead at 39.5% and 26.5%. June climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–24°C, so the elevated values stem from recent warm advection and limited cloud cover reducing diurnal cooling. Short-term model runs exhibit low spread for peak readings, though minor shifts in wind or timing of any afternoon convection could adjust the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 21, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$41,455Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 21, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system over central Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions to Warsaw on June 23, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C based on 850 hPa temperatures and surface heating rates. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where 26°C and 27°C lead at 39.5% and 26.5%. June climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–24°C, so the elevated values stem from recent warm advection and limited cloud cover reducing diurnal cooling. Short-term model runs exhibit low spread for peak readings, though minor shifts in wind or timing of any afternoon convection could adjust the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$41,455Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 21, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system over central Europe will bring mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions to Warsaw on June 23, supporting daytime maxima near 26–28°C based on 850 hPa temperatures and surface heating rates. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where 26°C and 27°C lead at 39.5% and 26.5%. June climatology for the region shows average highs around 22–24°C, so the elevated values stem from recent warm advection and limited cloud cover reducing diurnal cooling. Short-term model runs exhibit low spread for peak readings, though minor shifts in wind or timing of any afternoon convection could adjust the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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