Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 29?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 29?
28°C 97%
27°C 5%
26°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$23,981 Обс.
$23,981 Обс.
Jul 29, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
97%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 97%
27°C 5%
26°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$23,981 Обс.
$23,981 Обс.
Jul 29, 2026
23°C or below
$365 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$388 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$311 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,985 Обс.
1%
27°C
$4,059 Обс.
5%
28°C
$6,489 Обс.
97%
29°C
$8,406 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$384 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$442 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$698 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$453 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,981Дата завершення
Jul 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23,981Дата завершення
Jul 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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