Current forecasts from MetService and aligned model guidance point to a Wellington maximum of 12°C on June 16 under stable winter conditions, with near-average temperatures expected for the region per NIWA’s seasonal outlook. June climatology shows typical highs declining from 13°C to 12°C, and recent observations plus short-range model consensus support this exact threshold without significant warm advection or blocking highs to elevate readings. Traders have converged on the 12°C outcome at 100% implied probability because resolution criteria hinge on official maximum temperature data, which current guidance indicates will not deviate. A late-model shift introducing warmer northerlies or revised observational data could still alter the final reading before the day ends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$123,779 Обс.
$123,779 Обс.
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$123,779 Обс.
$123,779 Обс.
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
$151 Обс.
No
8°C
$256 Обс.
No
9°C
$1,444 Обс.
No
10°C
$2,511 Обс.
No
11°C
$30,090 Обс.
No
12°C
$23,851 Обс.
Yes
13°C
$28,942 Обс.
No
14°C
$27,069 Обс.
No
15°C
$5,793 Обс.
No
16°C
$1,710 Обс.
No
17°C or higher
$1,962 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and aligned model guidance point to a Wellington maximum of 12°C on June 16 under stable winter conditions, with near-average temperatures expected for the region per NIWA’s seasonal outlook. June climatology shows typical highs declining from 13°C to 12°C, and recent observations plus short-range model consensus support this exact threshold without significant warm advection or blocking highs to elevate readings. Traders have converged on the 12°C outcome at 100% implied probability because resolution criteria hinge on official maximum temperature data, which current guidance indicates will not deviate. A late-model shift introducing warmer northerlies or revised observational data could still alter the final reading before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$123,779Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and aligned model guidance point to a Wellington maximum of 12°C on June 16 under stable winter conditions, with near-average temperatures expected for the region per NIWA’s seasonal outlook. June climatology shows typical highs declining from 13°C to 12°C, and recent observations plus short-range model consensus support this exact threshold without significant warm advection or blocking highs to elevate readings. Traders have converged on the 12°C outcome at 100% implied probability because resolution criteria hinge on official maximum temperature data, which current guidance indicates will not deviate. A late-model shift introducing warmer northerlies or revised observational data could still alter the final reading before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$123,779Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current forecasts from MetService and aligned model guidance point to a Wellington maximum of 12°C on June 16 under stable winter conditions, with near-average temperatures expected for the region per NIWA’s seasonal outlook. June climatology shows typical highs declining from 13°C to 12°C, and recent observations plus short-range model consensus support this exact threshold without significant warm advection or blocking highs to elevate readings. Traders have converged on the 12°C outcome at 100% implied probability because resolution criteria hinge on official maximum temperature data, which current guidance indicates will not deviate. A late-model shift introducing warmer northerlies or revised observational data could still alter the final reading before the day ends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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