Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 4?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$77,854 Обс.
$77,854 Обс.
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$77,854 Обс.
$77,854 Обс.
May 4, 2026
10°C or below
$2,816 Обс.
No
11°C
$266 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,603 Обс.
No
13°C
$5,742 Обс.
No
14°C
$11,502 Обс.
No
15°C
$14,567 Обс.
No
16°C
$15,086 Обс.
Yes
17°C
$8,495 Обс.
No
18°C
$8,295 Обс.
No
19°C
$5,807 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$3,675 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$77,854Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$77,854Дата завершення
May 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Observed maximum temperatures at Wellington's Kelburn and International Airport stations reached 16°C during early afternoon on May 4, 2026, under partly sunny skies and northerly winds of 20-22 km/h, aligning precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 16°C high amid a drifting high-pressure system. Hourly data from official monitors show peaks of 61°F (16.1°C) between 11:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m., followed by cooling to 57°F (14°C) by evening, reflecting limited solar heating due to partial cloud cover and sea breeze influences typical for the Cook Strait region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 16°C reflects this locked-in observational evidence, with negligible risk of revision barring erroneous data corrections—uncommon in automated MetService reporting. Final NIWA validation expected soon, but current positioning is robust.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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