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Політика·Вимкнення уряду

Як довго триватиме вимкнення DHS?

Market icon
Політика·Вимкнення уряду

Як довго триватиме вимкнення DHS?

Mar 14

Mar 14

Polymarket

$1,437,828 Обс.

Polymarket

$1,437,828 Обс.

70+ днів

$31,156 Обс.

89%

80+ днів

$32,107 Обс.

67%

Понад 90 днів

$39,266 Обс.

56%

100+ днів

$160 Обс.

29%

110+ днів

$80 Обс.

37%

120+ днів

$200 Обс.

47%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has persisted since February 14, 2026—now over 60 days—due to partisan disagreements in Congress over appropriations tied to Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reforms, including warrant requirements for deportations. The Senate passed a unanimous stop-gap bill on April 5 to fund most DHS operations through fiscal year-end, but the House has stalled amid whip counts and holdouts, despite President Trump's executive memorandum directing back pay for all workers and Secretary Mullin's order recalling thousands of furloughed staff. Recent House Appropriations Committee hearings on April 16 highlighted growing backlogs, cybersecurity risks, and strains on TSA and FEMA, with officials warning of disintegration; traders price in prolonged duration pending floor votes or a continuing resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,437,828
Дата завершення
Mar 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partial government shutdown affecting the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has persisted since February 14, 2026—now over 60 days—due to partisan disagreements in Congress over appropriations tied to Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reforms, including warrant requirements for deportations. The Senate passed a unanimous stop-gap bill on April 5 to fund most DHS operations through fiscal year-end, but the House has stalled amid whip counts and holdouts, despite President Trump's executive memorandum directing back pay for all workers and Secretary Mullin's order recalling thousands of furloughed staff. Recent House Appropriations Committee hearings on April 16 highlighted growing backlogs, cybersecurity risks, and strains on TSA and FEMA, with officials warning of disintegration; traders price in prolonged duration pending floor votes or a continuing resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,437,828
Дата завершення
Mar 14, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Як довго триватиме вимкнення DHS?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 18 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «3+ дні» з 100%, далі «5+ днів» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Як довго триватиме вимкнення DHS?» згенерував $1.4 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 15, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Як довго триватиме вимкнення DHS?», перегляньте 18 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Як довго триватиме вимкнення DHS?» — «3+ дні» з 100%. Наступний — «5+ днів» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Як довго триватиме вимкнення DHS?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.