Traders assign the Federal Reserve abolition market a 97.3% probability of resolving to No before 2027 because structural, legal, and procedural barriers remain formidable. The Federal Reserve Act requires congressional action with supermajorities to repeal the institution outright, and bills such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act have stalled in committee without advancing. Recent Supreme Court rulings have reinforced governors’ statutory “for cause” protections and highlighted the Fed’s unique historical role, limiting unilateral executive removal. Current priorities center on internal reforms, including task forces reviewing monetary frameworks, balance-sheet reduction, and a planned 30% cut in the supervision division, rather than dissolution. While a severe financial crisis or unforeseen shift in congressional control could theoretically reopen debate, no verified developments in 2026 indicate momentum toward abolition within the resolution window.