Recent polling averages from sources including RealClearPolitics, Ballotpedia, and Rasmussen place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, reflecting steady but low readings amid his second term. Ongoing U.S. military involvement in Iran, now at the six-month mark, combined with voter concerns over inflation, tariffs, and trade tensions have kept net approval near -20. Immigration enforcement actions and fentanyl-related declines offer limited offsets. With September 4 approaching and no major scheduled catalysts expected to shift aggregates sharply in the next week, trader consensus concentrates probability on approval landing in the 38.0–38.4 range, consistent with the narrow band observed across recent surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено38.0–38.4 48%
39.0+ 27%
37.0–37.4 26%
37.5–37.9 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
11%
37.0–37.4
26%
37.5–37.9
26%
38.0–38.4
48%
38.5–38.9
25%
39.0+
27%
38.0–38.4 48%
39.0+ 27%
37.0–37.4 26%
37.5–37.9 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
$20 Обс.
11%
37.0–37.4
$0 Обс.
26%
37.5–37.9
$0 Обс.
26%
38.0–38.4
$0 Обс.
48%
38.5–38.9
$0 Обс.
25%
39.0+
$0 Обс.
27%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including RealClearPolitics, Ballotpedia, and Rasmussen place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, reflecting steady but low readings amid his second term. Ongoing U.S. military involvement in Iran, now at the six-month mark, combined with voter concerns over inflation, tariffs, and trade tensions have kept net approval near -20. Immigration enforcement actions and fentanyl-related declines offer limited offsets. With September 4 approaching and no major scheduled catalysts expected to shift aggregates sharply in the next week, trader consensus concentrates probability on approval landing in the 38.0–38.4 range, consistent with the narrow band observed across recent surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including RealClearPolitics, Ballotpedia, and Rasmussen place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, reflecting steady but low readings amid his second term. Ongoing U.S. military involvement in Iran, now at the six-month mark, combined with voter concerns over inflation, tariffs, and trade tensions have kept net approval near -20. Immigration enforcement actions and fentanyl-related declines offer limited offsets. With September 4 approaching and no major scheduled catalysts expected to shift aggregates sharply in the next week, trader consensus concentrates probability on approval landing in the 38.0–38.4 range, consistent with the narrow band observed across recent surveys.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages from sources including RealClearPolitics, Ballotpedia, and Rasmussen place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s to low 40s as of late August 2026, reflecting steady but low readings amid his second term. Ongoing U.S. military involvement in Iran, now at the six-month mark, combined with voter concerns over inflation, tariffs, and trade tensions have kept net approval near -20. Immigration enforcement actions and fentanyl-related declines offer limited offsets. With September 4 approaching and no major scheduled catalysts expected to shift aggregates sharply in the next week, trader consensus concentrates probability on approval landing in the 38.0–38.4 range, consistent with the narrow band observed across recent surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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