Skip to main content
Market icon
Політика·Первинні

IA-02 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·Первинні

IA-02 Republican Primary Winner

Joe Mitchell 94.7%

Charlie McClintock 2.9%

Shannon Lundgren <1%

Polymarket

$21,757 Обс.

Joe Mitchell 94.7%

Charlie McClintock 2.9%

Shannon Lundgren <1%

Polymarket

$21,757 Обс.

Joe Mitchell

$5,137 Обс.

95%

Charlie McClintock

$1,817 Обс.

3%

Shannon Lundgren

$14,803 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Mitchell commands 95% trader consensus in the IA-02 Republican primary due to high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson, a massive fundraising edge—$576,000 cash on hand versus Charlie McClintock's $14,000 as of December 2025—and the field's narrowing after Shannon Lundgren's January withdrawal to seek state House reelection. With the June 2 primary six weeks away, recent events like county GOP fundraisers underscore Mitchell's Trump allegiance against McClintock's stress on Senate experience, absent any polls showing shifts. While dominant, late scandals, health issues, or a surprise McClintock endorsement could challenge this, though traders price such risks minimally in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$21,757
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Mitchell commands 95% trader consensus in the IA-02 Republican primary due to high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson, a massive fundraising edge—$576,000 cash on hand versus Charlie McClintock's $14,000 as of December 2025—and the field's narrowing after Shannon Lundgren's January withdrawal to seek state House reelection. With the June 2 primary six weeks away, recent events like county GOP fundraisers underscore Mitchell's Trump allegiance against McClintock's stress on Senate experience, absent any polls showing shifts. While dominant, late scandals, health issues, or a surprise McClintock endorsement could challenge this, though traders price such risks minimally in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$21,757
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«IA-02 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Joe Mitchell» з 95%, далі «Charlie McClintock» з 3%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «IA-02 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $21.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «IA-02 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «IA-02 Republican Primary Winner» — «Joe Mitchell» з 95%. Наступний — «Charlie McClintock» з 3%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «IA-02 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.