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Політика·Первинні

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·Первинні

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Adriano Espaillat 62%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%

Oscar Romero 4.2%

Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.2%

Polymarket

$12,370 Обс.

Adriano Espaillat 62%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%

Oscar Romero 4.2%

Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.2%

Polymarket

$12,370 Обс.

Adriano Espaillat

$2,980 Обс.

62%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$1,248 Обс.

31%

Oscar Romero

$3,189 Обс.

4%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,047 Обс.

1%

James Felton Keith

$1,135 Обс.

1%

Megan Rodriguez

$899 Обс.

1%

Matt Miller

$1,170 Обс.

<1%

Jaleel Amador

$702 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability for the June 23 NY-13 Democratic primary, bolstered by his strong incumbency in the Latino-majority Upper Manhattan district, robust Q1 fundraising exceeding $1 million, and recent endorsements from District Council 37 municipal workers union on March 25 and the Congressional Black Caucus in January. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier commands 31% on momentum from Justice Democrats and NYC Democratic Socialists of America backing since late 2025, appealing to progressive voters on affordability and foreign policy amid Crain's New York April assessment of upset potential. Absent public polls, markets price Espaillat's institutional edge over Avila's grassroots effort, with early voting from June 13 key to turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$12,370
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability for the June 23 NY-13 Democratic primary, bolstered by his strong incumbency in the Latino-majority Upper Manhattan district, robust Q1 fundraising exceeding $1 million, and recent endorsements from District Council 37 municipal workers union on March 25 and the Congressional Black Caucus in January. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier commands 31% on momentum from Justice Democrats and NYC Democratic Socialists of America backing since late 2025, appealing to progressive voters on affordability and foreign policy amid Crain's New York April assessment of upset potential. Absent public polls, markets price Espaillat's institutional edge over Avila's grassroots effort, with early voting from June 13 key to turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$12,370
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Adriano Espaillat» з 62%, далі «Darializa Avila Chevalier» з 31%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $12.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 19, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Adriano Espaillat» з 62%. Наступний — «Darializa Avila Chevalier» з 31%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.